网站版权 © 《油气储运》编辑部 陕ICP备11014090号-10
地址:河北省廊坊市金光道51号(065000);电话:0316-2176193 / 0316-2072055; 传真:0316-2177392; 网址:yqcy.paperonce.org
技术支持:西安三才科技实业有限公司 029-89381847;029-88222991
Risk assessment method of gathering pipelines based on membership of information entropy
Risk assessment method of gathering pipelines based on membership of information entropy
gathering pipelines; safe operation; membership of information entropy; index system; risk calculation model
In order to effectively guarantee the safe operation of oilfield gathering pipelines, reduce the failure probability and avoid the major safety accidents, a safety risk assessment method was proposed on the base of the membership of information entropy. With this method, the particularity of the failure of gathering pipelines was defined by analyzing the failure data, and a calculation model for the risk assessment factor weights of gathering pipelines was established with the information entropy membership method. Moreover, based on the failure particularity and the weight calculation model, a relatively perfect risk assessment index system of gathering pipelines was developed. Additionally, a risk calculation model for gathering pipelines was established with Kent method, realizing the quantitative risk analysis of gathering pipelines. With the gathering pipelines in Xinjiang Oilfield as the object of study, a safety risk analysis was performed with the gathering pipeline safety risk assessment method based on the membership of information entropy. The analysis results show that the proposed method can more accurately assess the risk of gathering pipelines, and the assessment results are consistent with the actual conditions of gathering pipelines in Xinjiang Oilfield. Meanwhile, it can be a reference for the formation of risk assessment standards of gathering pipelines. (4 Figures, 3 Tables, 23 References)
[1] SCHILLACI W C. Improved risk reduction needed for gathering pipelines[J]. The Environmental Manager’s Compliance Advisor, 2012(812): 3-5.
[2] WANG H, DUNCAN I J. Understanding the nature of risks associated with onshore natural gas gathering pipelines[J].Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2014, 29: 49-55.
[3] Risk assessment and protective measures for oil-gas gathering and transferring pipeline[J]. Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection, 2018, 44(8): 9-11.
[4] LIU P H, LI Y, FU W P. Analysis on the hazard identi?cation of leakage and drag force of prevention for in-service gathering pipelines in the Ordos Basin[J]. China Special Equipment Safety, 2016, 32(11): 61-65.
[5] TONG K, FAN Z H, QU T T, BAI X L. Test analysis of corrosion perforation in a crude oil gathering pipeline[J]. Materials Science Forum, 2020, 993: 1209-1217.
[6] PENG X Y, YAO D C, LIANG G C, QIN L, YU J S, HE S. Study on corrosion reliability of oil/gas pipelines based on enhanced hamacher operator and bayesian assessment[J]. ProcessSafetyandEnvironmentalProtection,2017,111: 569-581.
[7] PENG X Y, YAO D C, LIANG G C, YU J, HE S. Overall reliability analysis on oil/gas pipeline under typical third-party actions based on fragility theory[J]. Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering, 2016, 34: 993-1003.
[8] ZAKIKHANI K, NASIRI F, ZAYED T. A review of failure prediction models for oil and gas pipelines[J]. Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice, 2020, 11(1): 03119001.
[9] WEI Y R, LI C J, WU X. Study on calculation method of failure probability for gathering pipeline of shale gas based on Bayesian network[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2019, 15(1): 121-127.
[10] ZHANG P, CHEN X S, LI H. Safety assessment and analysis of the leakage accidents in heavy oil gathering and transportation pipeline[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2019, 19(4): 1109-1115.
[11] HE H T, HUI X B, WU D R, LI C Y, YANG Y, AN S G, et al. Correction of risk assessment method for gathering and transportation pipelines in Sebei Gas Field[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2020, 39(8): 892-897.
[12] YUAN Q M. Preliminary evaluation and recommendation on standards and codes concerning public safety & setbacks in high- sulfur natural gas production and operation[J]. Natural Gas Industry, 2016, 36(10): 137-142.
[13] MA H Q, JIA J W, MA W, WANG L, GAO J F, HAN X L. Simulation of the critical condition of pressurization for high sulfur wet gas gathering and transportation system[J]. Journal of Lanzhou University of Technology, 2021, 47(1): 72-77.
[14] PHMSA. Data and statistics overview[EB/OL]. (2020- 03-04)[2021-05-16]. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/data-and-statistics-overview.
[15] Alberta Energy Regulator. Pipeline performance[EB/OL]. (2020- 07-30)[2021-05-16]. https://www.aer.ca/protecting-what-matters/holding-industry-accountable/industry-performance/pipeline-performance.
[16] ZHAO B, HE J S, ZHANG Y X. The method of determining decision attribute weight based on information entropy and membership[J]. Journal of Shandong University (Natural Science), 2016, 51(3): 86-90.
[17] CUI W. Evaluation on quality of anticorrosive coating and effect of cathodic protection for crossing pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2020, 39(11): 1304-1309.
[18] LI S Q, SUN M N, GUO X X. Quantitative risk assessment technology and application of sour natural gas gathering and transportation pipeline[J]. Petroleum Planning & Engineering, 2020, 31(1):1-5.
[19] LI X H, HAN Z Y, LU C W, ZHAO J P. Research on failure risk evaluation methodology of aging urban oil and gas pipeline[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2020, 30(2): 93-98.
[20] ZHANG P, QIN G J, WANG Y H. Risk assessment system for oil and gas pipelines laid in one ditch based on quantitative risk analysis[J]. Energies, 2019, 12(6): 1-21.
[21] YANG L, ZHU J, LI C E, XIANG G L. Analysis of safety risk identi?cation of urban utility tunnel based on Kent method[J]. Urban Development Studies, 2018, 25(8): 19-25.
[22] KHAN F, YARVEISY R, ABBASSI R. Risk-based pipeline integrity management: A road map for the resilient pipelines[J]. Journal of Pipeline Science and Engineering, 2021, 1(1): 74-87.
[23] ZHANG P, FAN C H, CHEN X S. Superposition analysis of individual risk matrix of oil and gas gathering and transportation station[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2020,30(3): 129-136.
Received date: 04 Nov. 2019. Revised date: 19 May 2021; Edited by: LI Zairong