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[1]崔巍,杨亮亮,夏荣,等.“一带一路”背景下海上天然气运输通道的安全评价[J].油气储运,2021,40(12):1430-1440.[doi:10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015]
　CUI Wei,YANG Liangliang,XIA Rong,et al.Safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels along the Belt and Road[J].Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation,2021,40(12):1430-1440.[doi:10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015]
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“一带一路”背景下海上天然气运输通道的安全评价

《油气储运》[ISSN:1000-8241/CN:13-1093/TE] 卷: 40 期数: 2021年12期 页码: 1430-1440 栏目: 出版日期: 2021-12-25
Title:
Safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels along the Belt and Road
文章编号:
1000-8241（2021）12-1430-11
作者:
崔巍1; 杨亮亮1; 夏荣1; 孙家庆2; 樊晓伟3

1. 大连海事大学航运经济与管理学院；2. 大连海事大学交通运输工程学院；3. 重庆市电力公司发展策划

Author(s):
CUI Wei1;  YANG Liangliang1;  XIA Rong1;  SUN Jiaqing2;  FAN Xiaowei3

1. School of Shipping Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University; 2. College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University; 3. Development and Planning Department, Chongqing Electric Power Company

关键词:
天然气; 海上通道; “ 一带一路” 倡议; PP-RAGA-K-means 算法; 安全评价
Keywords:
natural gas;  offshore channels;  the Belt and Road Initiative;  PP-RAGA-K-means algorithm;  safety evaluation
分类号:
TE88
DOI:
10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015
文献标志码:
A
摘要:

“一带一路”建设对中国国际能源合作起到了积极推动作用，结合“一带一路”合作实践对海上天然气运输通道进行安全评价，具有重要的理论及实践价值。考虑到“一带一路”建设实践、天然气国家级合作及新冠疫情对国际天然气供应格局的影响，将“一带一路”五通指数、天然气国家级协议及新冠疫情应用于评价模型指标的构建，采用PP-RAGA-K-means 算法进行求解，对中国海上天然气通道安全性进行研究。结果表明：“一带一路”因素对中国海上天然气通道安全存在正面影响，位于“一带一路”沿线且国力强盛的国家海上天然气通道更安全。研究结果为中国开展国际合作以及相关部门制定海上天然气运输安全保障措施提供了科学依据。（图7，表3，参32）

Abstract:

The Belt and Road works actively for promoting China’s international energy cooperation. Hence, the safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels with reference to the actual Belt and Road cooperation practice has an important theoretical and practical value. Taking into account the construction practice of the Belt and Road, the nationallevel natural gas cooperation, and the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the international natural gas supply pattern, research on the safety of offshore gas channels was performed with the evaluation model indicators determined based on the five connectivity indexes along the Belt and Road, the national gas agreement and the COVID-19 pandemic, and solution made by PP-RAGA-K-means algorithm. The research results show that the factor of “the Belt and Road” has a positive impact on the safety of China’s offshore gas channels, and the national offshore gas channels that are located along the Belt and Road and where strong national strength is present are the safest. Conclusively, the research results provide a scientific basis for China to develop international cooperation and the relevant departments to formulate safety measures for offshore natural gas transportation. (7 Figures, 3 Tables, 32 References)

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备注/Memo

收稿日期：2019-11-05；修回日期：2021-10-15；编辑：李在蓉
基金项目：国家社会科学基金资助项目“中美贸易摩擦新形势下军民融合一体化国家海运战”，19BGJ023；国家社会科学基金资助项目“新冠肺炎疫情与安全、稳定、高效、开放的全球供应链治理体系和能力构建研究”，20BGJ027；辽宁省社科联2021 年度辽宁省经济社会发展合作课题研究项目“能源命运共同体视角下东亚天然气合作研究”，2021lslhzyb-07。
作者简介：崔巍，男，1972 年生，副教授，2003 年博士毕业于大连理工大学水利水电工程专业，现主要从事液化天然气供应安全方向的研究工作。地址：辽宁省大连市甘井子区凌海路1 号大连海事大学管理类A 座，116000。电话：13390531612。Email：cwsll@163.com

更新日期/Last Update: 2021-12-25